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‘Lost forever’: What does the future look like for a Mediterranean flooded with invasive species?

‘Lost forever’: What does the future look like for a Mediterranean flooded with invasive species?

ABONE OL
30 Temmuz 2026 11:03
‘Lost forever’: What does the future look like for a Mediterranean flooded with invasive species?
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ABONE OL
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Scientists have designated the Mediterranean as a climate change “hot spot” – and warming waters are bringing aggressive new alien species.

The Mediterranean of our ancestors is no more.

Scientists say climate change, caused mainly by burning oil, coal and gas, is making the Mediterranean Sea hotter, bringing hundreds of new and invasive fish species that decimate indigenous populations.

As biodiversity diminishes, coastal communities will struggle to make ends meet in the ways they’ve known for generations.

“The Mediterranean of our grandfathers, of our elders, and of the Greeks, of ancient Greece is lost forever. So many of those changes are irreversible,” says Ernesto Azzuro, a marine biologist with the Italian National Research Council’s Institute for Marine Biological Resources and Biotechnology.

Warmth can’t dissipate in the Mediterranean’s basin

Scientists have designated the Mediterranean as a climate change “hot spot”, with its waters expected to warm by 2 to 6 degrees Celsius by 2100. Heatwaves are likely to become more frequent and more extreme, according to the Mediterranean Experts on Climate and Environmental Change, an independent network of scientists.

Ronan McAdam, an oceanographer with the Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change, says a key factor in the warming is that the sea is an enclosed basin and warmth can’t dissipate like in the vastness of the oceans.

The warming waters have made an inviting new home for invasive species like the spotted puffer fish, a voracious predator and the “worst invader”, Azzuro says.

These species are now heading toward France and Spain after entering the Mediterranean through the Suez Canal.

The UN food and agriculture body’s General Fisheries Commission for the Mediterranean says such invasive species have been present for decades, but their spread accelerated after the early 2000s, coinciding with rising sea temperatures. For example, the lionfish was first recorded in the eastern Mediterranean in 2012 and has expanded rapidly westward.

“The Mediterranean will be even poorer, even with less species, simply because climate changeis really making this part of the Mediterranean, especially the eastern part of the Mediterranean, really unsuitable for native species,” Azzuro says.

Cyprus, due to its proximity to the Suez Canal, was first to feel the impact of these invasive fish. Lionfish supplanted indigenous stocks like the red mullet to the dismay of fishers, who have seen local varieties popular with customers greatly diminish.

Then there are rabbitfish that can devour algae from the sea bottom, destroying the habitat for many indigenous species.

“We know what should be done. We should reduce the use of fossil [fuels],” says Piero Genovesi Papik, a zoologist with Italy’s Higher Institute for Environmental Protection and Research. “But that’s definitely an urgent matter for the humanity, and we all know the solutions, but of course they require a global and joint vision.”

About 1,000 invasive species have been identified

Azzuro says about 1,000 invasive species have been identified in the Mediterranean, with 800 of them firmly established.

 

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