‘China’s model is flawed’: top MEP says trade pressure could test Beijing’s stability

Restricting Chinese access to the EU’s market of 450 million consumers could undermine Beijing’s export-driven economy and pose a risk to the country’s political stability, German liberal MEP Engin Eroglu, chair of the European Parliament’s delegation for relations with China, told Euronews, arguing that China’s model is "flawed." His comments come as tensions between Brussels and Beijing have ramped up in recent weeks. The EU has set an October deadline with China last month to discuss how they can reduce their trade imbalance, after the bloc’s deficit with China reached a record €1 billion in 2026. With low-cost Chinese imports continuing to flood the EU market, the European Commission, which is negotiating on behalf of the bloc's 27 member states, could impose measures to restrict access to the European market before the two sides reach a breakthrough. “If Europe were to restrict access to its market even slightly, Chinese domestic companies would be affected—especially since China's domestic consumption is stagnating,” the MEP told. “China's model is flawed despite dancing robots and great fanfare,” he added, referring to China's display of technological prowess during its latest Lunar New Year gala, when a performance by humanoid robots drew global attention. According to him, if Chinese companies had to lay off workers because of EU's restrictions "this could lead to political problems for the Chinese government."

"There is high youth unemployment"

The European Commission said on Tuesday that it intends to implement “unilateral” trade defence measures to protect the EU market from the surge of Chinese imports before the October deadline. These measures could include tariffs and quotas on Chinese imports that threaten specific sectors of European industry. After the US began closing its market to Chinese imports through tariffs in 2025, China redirected its industrial overcapacity to the EU, putting pressure on key sectors of European industry, including steel, cars and chemicals. However, according to Alicia Garcia Herrero, chief economist for Asia-Pacific at French corporate bank Natixis, state-backed "zombie" companies accounted for more than 12% of all registered firms in China in 2026, more than double their share in 2018. In a report published in early June, the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) also said that Chinese companies receive between three and eight times more subsidies than companies in OECD member countries. According to Eroglu, that model is far from sustainable, undermining Beijing's claim to global dominance as it seeks to replace the US as the world's leading economic and political power through an aggressive trade policy. “There is already high youth unemployment. China's current self-confidence may not reflect the actual situation. This means that by controlling access to our market, we hold leverage over China.” The European Commission could also impose new anti-dumping duties on Chinese products, as it has done in several cases in recent years. The number of unfair trade practice complaints filed by EU producers is rising, and for the first time, the EU’s trade enforcement authority opened an investigation last Thursday into the agricultural sector by targeting China’s Peking duck. “I hope we can avoid a trade conflict, but the rapid decline of European industries makes it difficult not to react,” Eroglu said.